Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.198513 0.223946 0.250833 0.281320 0.314870 0.350608 0.391496
2025-06-29 0.163305 0.197373 0.235443 0.280941 0.333633 0.392522 0.463095
2025-07-06 0.138165 0.177311 0.223194 0.280525 0.349791 0.430301 0.530450
2025-07-13 0.120996 0.163799 0.216127 0.284087 0.369225 0.471512 0.602762
2025-07-20 0.109228 0.155136 0.213403 0.291690 0.392892 0.517972 0.682743
2025-07-27 0.097487 0.144912 0.207268 0.293734 0.408781 0.554681 0.751484
2025-08-03 0.089342 0.138445 0.205107 0.300195 0.429992 0.598361 0.830203
2025-08-10 0.082871 0.133498 0.204295 0.307934 0.452724 0.644403 0.913248
2025-08-17 0.074419 0.124737 0.197255 0.306216 0.462006 0.672438 0.972971
2025-08-24 0.067517 0.117541 0.191722 0.305947 0.472818 0.702446 1.035876
2025-08-31 0.061286 0.110720 0.186090 0.304911 0.482100 0.730254 1.096255
2025-09-07 0.057617 0.107598 0.185703 0.311418 0.502285 0.773709 1.179464
2025-09-14 0.052561 0.101857 0.181025 0.311393 0.513244 0.805083 1.247748
2025-09-21 0.047977 0.096448 0.176420 0.311081 0.523581 0.835757 1.315911
2025-09-28 0.043857 0.091424 0.172009 0.310680 0.533561 0.866042 1.384272
2025-10-05 0.040937 0.088257 0.170402 0.314590 0.550232 0.906641 1.468836
2025-10-12 0.039025 0.086762 0.171487 0.322888 0.574038 0.958609 1.571685
2025-10-19 0.036301 0.083432 0.169096 0.325121 0.588071 0.995966 1.653496
2025-10-26 0.034534 0.081797 0.169561 0.332163 0.610074 1.046156 1.756039
2025-11-02 0.033093 0.080670 0.170833 0.340590 0.634583 1.100869 1.866867
2025-11-09 0.030389 0.076648 0.166443 0.338721 0.641696 1.128232 1.935945
2025-11-16 0.028123 0.073313 0.163080 0.338429 0.651329 1.159728 2.012121
2025-11-23 0.025955 0.069955 0.159406 0.337301 0.659358 1.188721 2.084923